Why do people celebrate so much
The boys and Covid-19 : The maybe very long hangover after the corona party
Never before have people around the world literally lived so much in prognoses - and also died in them. It's about what will and could come if it doesn't happen very, very quickly that significantly fewer people than before are infected with Sars-CoV-2. And the scenarios are not encouraging.
What predominates is uncertainty - from the population to the representatives to the scientists. Perhaps that is also why many are currently particularly sticking to the supposedly safe, also encouraging part of what is known about the coronavirus.
It is the narrative of the mild, cold-like course in practically all younger infected people. If you ask around in your circle of friends, it goes so far that even many of those who claim it no longer apply this consistently positive forecast. Apparently you are as young and corona-resistant as you feel.
How ignorant it is to be less careful, simply because you place yourself in the young, healthy, fit group, has already been mentioned more often here in the Tagesspiegel.
However, there is also something important: There are increasing reports that young people who have never had serious health problems before are seriously ill with Covid-19, and even die. And: if you survive the disease, you will not necessarily be completely healthy again.
Background about the coronavirus:
What could also happen to young people has now been explained by really "the highest authority", by the head of the World Health Organization, Tedros Adhanom, personally.
Here are a few sentences from his statement from Saturday: “One of the things we are learning right now is that while older people are hardest hit, younger people are not spared. Data from many countries clearly shows that people under the age of 50 make up a significant proportion of the patients who need to be hospitalized. Today I have a message for young people: you are not invincible. This virus could take you to the hospital for weeks or even kill you. "
The proportion of younger people in intensive care units is increasing
While it is still true that the highest proportion of deaths is documented in the over 80 age group, the proportion of younger people in intensive care units is increasing. There are probably many reasons for this: a disproportionately large number of young people become infected through more intensive and extensive (i.e. with more people) social contacts, and certainly also because of the carelessness I am young and fit. At least that's what data from Korea, the country that tests most intensively for infections, suggests.
The fact that some young people then become seriously ill, while most of them are actually not hit that massive, can have various causes. It is plausible, for example, to explain that children, adolescents and young adults are particularly at risk if they have a pre-existing cardiovascular system that they do not know about.
In any case, it is relatively common for young people to live with such undiagnosed problems. And pneumonia is very stressful for the heart and circulation. Being very overweight is now a well-known risk factor for severe Covid-19 courses.
Virologist Drosten: How viruses get directly into the lungs
The virologist Christian Drosten also suspects that with intensive social contact - for example if someone suddenly starts coughing in the immediate vicinity - large amounts of virus can get directly into the lungs without the usual first step of replication in the throat. "Then the virus multiplies in the deep respiratory tract without triggering an immune reaction in the throat," Drosten recently told Zeit Online. The immune system is then completely unprepared for the infestation of the lungs, while otherwise it had at least a few days to deal with the pathogen.
Anyone who is careless as a young person can potentially endanger themselves, not to mention the older ones who could infect them afterwards - or even their corpulent buddies.
There is also scientific data that is already available on Covid-19, but also on the first Sars outbreak in 2002/03 and other viruses that can cause severe bronchitis and pneumonia. They show, for example, that those who survive the disease are often not simply healthy again afterwards.
Is the post-corona syndrome threatened soon?
A specialist article published on March 19 in the “European Heart Journal” lists various acute and long-term complications with the cardiovascular system. At Sars, for example, there were more deaths from acute cardiac arrest, as well as numerous cases of acute and life-threatening myocardial inflammation and other complications.
The study's authors also point out that viral pneumonia often has long-term effects that could increase the risk of later cardiovascular disease. An increased likelihood of cardiovascular complications for a period of up to ten years after pneumonia has been proven.
In addition, Sars survivors, for example, often had a disturbed lipid metabolism. Increased total inflammation values and an abnormal tendency to clot blood have also been demonstrated.
In addition, a problem many survivors called "post-Sars syndrome", specifically described after the outbreak in 2002/03. In the medium and long term, they show symptoms such as insomnia, chronic fatigue, depression and muscle and joint pain. According to the authors of the current article in the European Heart Journal, it is important that there are more and better studies on the long-term consequences of such viral infections and diseases.
Ironically, researchers will likely have a large number of subjects available to do this in the near future. In any case, despite all the uncertainty, this is unfortunately a very plausible forecast at the moment.
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